Gulfstream park - March 4, 2017
Fountain of Youth (Grade II)
Purse - 400,000
Distance - One And One Sixteenth Miles
Surface – Dirt
1 – Hurican Americo
2 – Gunnevera
3 – Quiinientos
4 – Talk Logistics
5 – Beasley
6 – Practical Joke 7 – Three Rules
8 – Irish War Cry
9 – Made You Look
10 – Takaful
11 – Lookin for Eight
There are two races on March 4th that can help horses punch their ticket to the Kentucky Derby – the first is the Gotham in New York – and after reviewing that race I believe the heavy favorite El Areeb, the stunning grey colt – should find himself in the Winner’s Circle.
(El Areeb -- Means The Wise or The Intelligent)
The more interesting race should be the Fountain of Youth which, for a few of these horses, will be a rematch of the Holy Bull stakes -- that took place here at Gulfstream Park in February.
The winner of the Holy Bull Stakes was #8 Irish War Cry who is undefeated in three career races – #2 Gunnevera finished 2nd (3 wins / 7 races) and #4 Talk Logistics finished 4th (1 win / 4 races).
Irish War Cry broke out into the lead comfortably and never looked back – he has a powerful finish and deserves to be the favorite in this race.
See Holy Bull Stakes:
However there are three horses that could challenge the Favorite –
#6 Practical Joke – Personally I think this horse is over hyped coming into this race – his odds are 3-1 (making him the 2nd favorite) and he hasn’t raced in 119 days – which was a third place showing in the Breeder’s Cup Juvenile. That said he has won 3 out of 4 races in his career – I don’t like a young horse coming off this big of a layoff but……they like him locally, and it’s wise to listen to the locals.
#9 Made You Look – Is currently sitting at 10-1 – and I’m definitely looking! Made You Look showed a lot of patience in his last race before turning on the jets in the final furlong to win by a few lengths – this horse has a “primo” starting spot to stalk Irish War Cry and when they come out of the turn – I think Made You Look may have enough fight to pull off an upset – the question is if he can keep up to begin with. He only has 3 wins in 6 attempts – but I like this horse.
#11 Lookin For Eight – Crushed his opponents in his last outing (a 7 furlong race) here at Gulfstream -- Lookin for Eight will also likely look to contend with Irish War Cry for the early lead – again the question is who will have the lead as they enter the final turn? Lookin for Eight has 1 win in 2 races…..and he’s currently going off at 20-1…….I like those odds a lot – especially for a horse sired by Former Preakness Winner Lookin for Lucky.
Two horses I’m concerned about are - #7 Three Rules and #5 Beasley.
Three Rules faded at the end of a 7 furlong race, and I just don’t see him contending in this one at all…..but I’m looking at his overall record of 5 wins in 7 races – and I’m concerned he may have just been flat in his most recent outing…..we’ll find out soon. His odds are at 12/1.
Beasley – Was Sired by Shackleford and has only 1 win in 3 races – and he most recently finished 2nd in an allowance race --- however his odds are currently 6/1….which is clearly much better than Made You Look and Lookin for Eight? Somebody’s wrong....and I really hope it isn't Me....again!
|Strangely Sensitive Cheetah|
hears the name
Irish War Cry
and is ready to drink
and listen to U2!
I’m throwing out –
50/1 - Hurican Americo (1 win / 2 races)
50/1 – Quiinientos (1 win / 8 races)
Irish War Cry is the son of one of my all-time favorite horses Curlin….and it’s difficult to bet against against an “Irish” horse this close to St. Patrick’s Day and that is absolutely terrible reasoning for handicapping horses.....however --
Closing Speed likes: Irish War Cry / Made You Look / Gunnevera
If I’m betting $12 on this race I like:
$1 Exacta Box – 8,9,11
$ Exacta Box – 3,8,9